Data & Evidence3 min read

Australia’s Dental Divide

Prof. Dr. Nicola Cirillo
Prof. Dr. Nicola Cirillo
Head of Research

CoTreat · Population Health Report

Dentistry is often left out of the healthcare inequality conversation.

But new findings from CoTreat suggest oral health may be one of the clearest and most measurable examples of healthcare inequity in Australia today.

How it was studied

01
AI Image Analysis
Radiographs & clinical photographs
02
81,919 Records
Public & private dental settings
03
One Standard
Identical classification criteria
04
Matched Cohorts
Propensity-scored by age & sex
Dataset
0
patient records AI-analysed
Public + Private
care settings
One system
standardised AI
The findings

Public vs. Private Patients

Public patients were significantly more likely to present with…

1.7×

more likely to present with missing teeth

6.2×
1.9×

more likely to exhibit tooth wear

6.2×
2.2×

more likely to have advanced periodontal bone loss

6.2×
4.9×

more likely to experience complete edentulism

6.2×
6.2×

more likely to develop root surface caries

6.2×

The report also found substantially higher rates of deep caries reaching the pulp — disease severe enough to require root canal treatment or extraction.

Importantly, these findings were generated using the same AI analysis system across both patient populations. The imaging protocols, staging systems, and classification criteria were identical. What changed was the population itself.

A Pattern Seen Globally

Lower-income populations everywhere show more untreated disease. What is new here is the visibility.

The disparity is not abstract — it is anatomically visible and measurable, tooth by tooth, across tens of thousands of people. The trends in the CoTreat dataset mirror broader international public health findings on untreated dental disease, tooth loss, and reduced access to preventive care.

Tooth loss clinical image

The Exceptions Tell Their Own Story

A few conditions were rarer in public patients. That is not good news.

Secondary caries and periapical pathology actually appeared less often in the public group. The simpler, more confronting reading is that there were fewer remaining teeth and fewer existing restorations left to fail. You cannot get decay around a filling you were never able to have.

Secondary caries clinical image

Periapical Pathology

0.8×
Private sector10.8%
Public sector8.1%

Marginally lower publicly — not a marker of health. Many teeth that would have developed lesions were already extracted, removing them from the data.

Secondary Caries

0.8×
Private sector31.2%
Public sector23.4%

Lower publicly only because there are fewer restorations — fewer fillings, fewer margins at risk. The restorative cycle requires a filling that, in many public patients, was never placed.

The same AI system that identified these disparities can help close the gap.

That’s one of the most interesting opportunities for AI in healthcare.

01

Earlier detection

02

More consistent triage

03

Clearer conversations

04

Better resource allocation

Beyond Dentistry

Image databases may contain a deeper public health story than previously appreciated.

This analysis demonstrates how large-scale AI-assisted imaging can be used not only for clinical workflows, but also for population-level health surveillance.

About CoTreat

CoTreat is building the AI colleague for dentists.

CoTreat makes it easy to go above and beyond for your patient. An AI that supports you in clinic.